Probability of Abiogenesis FAQs
biogenesis is the field of science
dedicated to studying how life might have arisen for the first time
on the primordial young Earth. Despite the enormous progress that has
been made since the MillerUrey experiment, abiogenesis is under
constant attack from creationists, who continually claim that the origin
of life by random natural processes is so unlikely as to be, for all
practical purposes, impossible. Following are some articles that
challenge this claim and demonstrate the fundamental misconception
at the core of the creationists' arguments.

Lies, Damned Lies, Statistics, and Probability of Abiogenesis Calculations

How likely is it that even a single bacterium could form by chance
in the primordial sea? Not very likely, that's for sure, and creationists have been
only too happy to provide ludicrously huge numbers purporting to be the odds
against such a thing. However, even if these calculations are correct, they
are irrelevant, as modern theories of abiogenesis require nothing of the kind
to happen. This article briefly illustrates what abiogenesis really is
and shows why the creationists' probability calculations do not matter.

Borel's Law and the Origin of Many Creationist Probability Assertions

Creationists have asserted that a statistical principle called "Borel's Law"
mathematically demonstrates that abiogenesis is impossible. This article
explains what Borel's Law is and shows that Borel himself clearly understood
that his law was not relevant to the probability of the origin of life.

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